If you don’t run, you can’t lose
April 14th, 2008, 3:20 pm · 4 Comments · posted by Paul Giblin

Kris Mayes
It’s hard to imagine, but the Republicans are all but abandoning Arizona’s 1st Congressional District to the Democrats this year.
Arizona Corporation Commissioner Kris Mayes became at least the eighth Republican to consider and reject the idea of running to succeed Republican U.S. Rep. Rick Renzi. She backed out last week.
Of course, Renzi’s pending public corruption trial isn’t doing much to bolster the Republicans’ chances.
Equally important, probable Republican candidates are finding a lack of financial support from federal sources. That’s particularly significant in the sprawling 1st District, which is larger geographically than the state of Pennsylvania.
At the moment, Arizona Mining Association president and former talk radio host Sydney Hay is the lone Republican candidate. Former state Sen. Ken Bennett, who rejected the idea of running once before, is considering the matter anew.
A potential Mayes-Bennett-Hey primary would split whatever base the Republicans could muster. Both Mayes and Bennett are from Prescott, the epicenter of the district’s GOP network.
“We’ve seen a lot of names of prominent Republicans considering jumping in this race. They’ll float the idea for a few weeks, and then bow out,” said state Democratic Party spokeswoman Emily Bittner.
In contrast, five Democratic candidates are energized about the prospect of winning the seat, Bittner said. “They’ve felt burdened for quite some time with the service, such as it was, of Rick Renzi. I think that’s an incredibly frustrating position to be in, to see a congressman, who at this point, has been indicted on 35 counts related to corruption,” she said.
At the national level, the Democrats are sure to first spend to keep first-term U.S. Reps. Harry Mitchell and Gabrielle Giffords in office. The next on the list for federal campaign funding will be the party’s nominee in the 1st District.
Mayes said she hopes other Republicans will enter the congressional race. “I still think this seat can be won by a Republican; that Republican isn’t going to be me this year, but I still think it’s one that leans right of center. So far, I haven’t seen any Democrats who match the profile of the district,” she said.








April 14th, 2008 at 4:45 pm
Lose… not Loose… Lose
April 15th, 2008 at 4:01 am
“If you don’t run, you can’t LOOSE”?
I think you’re playing fast and loose with your words here.
I may lose against Rep. Jeff Flake, but at least I can spell.
April 15th, 2008 at 7:31 am
If Bennett doesn’t run, Carlos Sierra, a top AZ aide to John McCain will jump in.
April 15th, 2008 at 10:32 am
ABC and Richard,
Thanks for kind edits. Maybe I can blame a sticky “O” key… Ah, maybe not.
— Paul Giblin